Advice to Xi Jinping on China’s Ukraine elections
Advice to Xi Jinping on China’s Ukraine elections

Advice to Xi Jinping on China’s Ukraine elections

National Security Adviser Jake SullivanJake SullivanRussia requested military food aid from China in mid-war with Ukraine: report Overnight Defense & National Security – Presented by AM General – US is concerned that China may help Russia Sullivan raises Russia concerns in meeting with Chinese official MOREMonday’s meeting with China’s top diplomat, Yang Jiechi, underscores that China, more than any other nation, is uniquely positioned to help end Russia’s catastrophic war in Ukraine. As Sullivan told CNNstanding on the sidelines while it can stop atrocities – or worse, like U.S. officials warn, which provides military assistance – will leave China, which is widely considered guilty. Constructive diplomatic intervention, on the other hand, could allow Beijing to reset its failing relations with most of the globe. China has a strategic choice to make.

Despite parrot Russian propagandaChina seems insecure Putin

Vladimir Vladimirovich PutinBiden finds hands tied in Ukraine Ukraine conflict a blessing for the defense industry Note: The Zelensky virtual address increases the pressure on Biden MORE‘s invasion. This may reflect which Sullivan hinted, who has not been informed by Putin that a full invasion was planned, one that would drag on for weeks, and one that would cause so many barbaric devastation. In fact, Chinese President Xi Jinping was manipulated by Putin, just as Stalin played Mao, which led to the Korean War in 1950. It seems that Beijing was shocked by the extensive war, even more so by its brutality and not least by its rapid, furious and unprecedented global economic and political reaction.

Putin’s actions run counter to China’s stated core foreign policy principles: the inviolability of national sovereignty, non-interference in the internal affairs of others and the diplomatic resolution of disputes. The consequences of Putin’s breach of international norms could have a catastrophic impact on China’s economic and diplomatic interests, with the risk of economic recession and major damage to Beijing’s reputation.

Since President Nixon’s opening to China 50 years ago, no nation has benefited more from the existing international system than China, which may be why China values ​​stability and prudence. China has also opposed international economic sanctions and promoted multilateral cooperation, economic growth and stable trade.

NATO enlargement may have been a misplaced excuse for Moscow. But neither NATO nor Ukraine attacked Russia, nor did they intend to do so. Russia invaded a sovereign nation that did not pose a threat. It has triggered unprecedented international condemnation and unsurpassed financial and trade sanctions that are likely to affect Chinese economic growth.

As the world’s largest oil importer, the rise in oil prices, maybe soon to $ 150 per. barrel, will have ripple effects throughout China’s economy. China’s international financial status may also be threatened through secondary sanctions. China must be sober of the united and firm international critique.

Putin’s invasion threatens all of these fundamental Chinese principles and interests. The Ukraine war has revealed that there are significant limits to the common interests of Moscow and Beijing. History also points in this direction.

While China has expressed some discomfort in statements and UN abstentions, it still defends Russia’s security interests and blames NATO. China’s omissions in the UN Security Council and General Assembly votes were noted, as was China’s freezing of loans from the Asian International Development Bank to Russia and Belarus. And Beijing’s efforts avoid breaking economic sanctions as Chinese state banks stopped issuing credit for Russian shipments of oil and other goods.

But by not condemning Putin’s Ukraine invasion, China is trying to reconcile the irreconcilable. Without any major distancing from Putin, China is jeopardizing relations with the United States and the European Union (a total of $ 1.2 trillion a year in trade).

But China now has a rare opportunity to change the perception of China in the West. Many in the United States believe that China’s unchanging goal is to overthrow the world order and that Beijing despises accommodation. Others believe that China primarily wants the power and influence given to its economic and strategic weight. Playing a strong role in resolving this crisis is an opportunity to prove that constructive, if competitive, coexistence is possible. Biden should make it clear to Xi that crucial aid to end the war and reach a sustainable solution will open up new opportunities for ties between the United States and China.

Beijing has not served its interests well instructs its media to avoid postings “all unfavorable to Russia or pro-Western” on their social media accounts. The Chinese people deserve an honest view of what is happening in Ukraine. Well-informed, the Chinese public would support the Chinese Communist Party in taking an initiative to end the slaughter.

China’s offer to mediate is constructive. But it is vague and inadequate. To stand on or near the sidelines while China has the means to stop atrocities leads many to see China as an accomplice. Constructive diplomatic intervention, on the other hand, could allow Beijing to cut its image and reset failing relations with most of the globe. It is time for Beijing to conduct a sober cost-benefit analysis that balances its long-term interests and then takes action. French President Emmanuel MacronEmmanuel Jean-Michel MacronFive important developments in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine Coverage: Mosque hit in Mariupol, Russian attacks continue in Kiev China is a wildcard in the war between Russia and Ukraine MORE and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz have met with Xi, consultations that may affect Beijing’s thinking.

China has this opportunity at a historic turning point. The past two years have been disastrous for China’s international image. The Wolf Warrior diplomacy backfired badly. Its economic coercion has alienated trading partners. NATO and the EU have united in opposition to Chinese predatory industrial policy. New coalitions such as Quad and AUKUS have further united the Atlantic and Pacific regions against China. None of this serves Chinese interests.

China must also decide what kind of world it will inhabit. Russia’s invasion has clarified that. Does Beijing want a bipolar world where it is held accountable for a global pariah that is, in fact, a ruined petrostat? Or will China choose the more multipolar world it so often hails?

For China’s mediation offerings to be effective, it must make it very clear to Putin that he has overturned too many of their principles and that he needs to turn the course or lose Chinese economic support. Beijing will do Russia a favor by mediating a path to an exit ramp that is also acceptable to Ukraine. Chinese good offices, perhaps along with Israel, which also has good relations with Moscow, could reach an agreement where, as our former Secretary of State James Baker used to say, “no one gets everything and everyone gets something.”

China is facing a strategic choice. It can achieve international goodwill and achieve a degree of reset with the United States, or it can fall back on personal ties to Putin, which will only result in a confrontational bipolar system that does not serve China’s broader interests.

Hans Binnendijk is a prominent fellow at the Atlantic Council. He previously served as director of the NDU’s Department of National Strategic Studies and as NSC senior director of defense policy. Follow him at Robert A. Manning is a senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and its New American Engagement Initiative at the Atlantic Council. He has previously been a member of the U.S. State Department’s Political Planning Staff (2004-08) and the National Intelligence Council’s Strategic Futures Group (2-8-12. Follow him on Twitter @ Rmanning4.

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