CDC predicts continued declines in Covid-19 hospitalizations and deaths over the next 4 weeks – Community News
Covid-19

CDC predicts continued declines in Covid-19 hospitalizations and deaths over the next 4 weeks

The latest forecast predicts 740,000 to 762,000 reported deaths on Nov. 6. It is the third consecutive week of an expected decline in newly reported deaths.

The latest CDC forecast predicts 500 to 10,100 new confirmed Covid-19 hospitalizations likely to be reported by Nov. 5 — a fifth straight week of projected declines. As of Oct. 12, 64,332 people had been hospitalized with Covid-19, according to US Health and Human Services data.

In terms of cases, there was no predicted rise or fall.

The latest predictions come as the number of Covid-19 cases in the US is declining – an optimistic view that should be tempered by the still high number of infections, especially among children.
The number of new cases in children remains “exceptionally high,” with 148,222 cases reported in the week ending Oct. 7, according to data from the American Academy of Pediatrics published Monday.

Children accounted for nearly a quarter of Covid-19 cases reported weekly, the AAP said.

According to Johns Hopkins University, Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have declined nationwide. According to JHU data, an average of 87,676 people reported infections and 1,559 people died each day from Covid-19 in the past week.

The infection rate still remains well above what is needed – of which Dr. Anthony Fauci said Sunday should be below 10,000.

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And as winter threatens to send people indoors and increase the spread, experts worry things could ramp up again. The risk is higher for children, many of whom are not yet eligible for vaccination.

Currently, vaccines are only available for children as young as 12, although Pfizer and BioNTech have filed for emergency clearance from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for younger children.

In the meantime, some schools have leaned on preventive measures to protect students, such as masking, distancing and testing. In Massachusetts, Governor Charlie Baker plans to deploy 200 members of the National Guard to assist with school testing for Covid-19.

But vaccination remains the best means of fighting the pandemic, experts say.

And some regions are doing better than others.

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Thirty-five states have fully vaccinated more than half of their residents, while five others — Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maine and Massachusetts — have more than two-thirds fully vaccinated, according to data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Overall, the numbers aren’t that promising. Only 56.5% of the U.S. population was fully vaccinated on Tuesday night CDC data.

“We need the overwhelming portion of those unvaccinated people to get vaccinated, and then we can be pretty sure that if we can do that, you won’t see a resurgence,” said Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Health. Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

In fact, vaccines could have prevented more than 90,000 deaths in the past three months, according to a new analysis from the Kaiser Family Foundation.

More than 104,000 people in the US died from Covid-19 between June and September 2021, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Vaccines were widely available to all American adults at the time, but according to the KFF analysis, an “overwhelming majority” of those who died were not vaccinated.

If all adults 18 years of age or older had been vaccinated, more than 90,000 additional lives could have been saved between June and September. About half of those preventable deaths — about 49,000 — occurred in September alone, according to the foundation’s analysis.

Hospital system ‘deeply disappointed’ by Texas vaccine mandate ban

While many experts and officials are encouraging institutions to issue vaccine mandates to protect employees, students and customers, some are fighting their efforts.

On Monday, Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued an executive order prohibiting entities from requiring individuals to be vaccinated.

“The COVID-19 vaccine is safe, effective, and our best defense against the virus, but should remain voluntary and never coerced,” Abbott said.

“This goes against public health guidelines and is really not the right thing to do in the midst of a pandemic,” CNN medical analyst Dr. Leana Wen told CNN’s John King on Tuesday.

Covid-19 vaccine required work, says Dr.  Anthony Faucic

dr. Houston Methodist president and CEO Marc Boom said the hospital system is reviewing Abbott’s executive order and its potential implications, while still expecting workers and doctors to be vaccinated.

“As the first hospital system in the country to mandate the COVID-19 vaccine for workers and doctors, we are deeply disappointed in the governor’s order seeking to ban such mandates,” Boom said in a statement, noting that the employees and doctors of the system are 100% compliant.

“We have fulfilled our sacred duty to keep our patients safe and put them first. Not only does it keep our patients safe, but we can also stay healthy at work and be there for our community when it matters most to us.” need.”

More than 150 Houston Methodist employees resigned during a two-week suspension period in June or were fired for failing to adhere to a mandatory vaccination policy.

Mandate bans are especially relevant to health care systems, where some professionals have resigned due to such measures and others have advocated protecting their colleagues and their vulnerable patients.

According to a new poll by Axios-Ipsos, a majority of Americans, 65%, support the demand for vaccines for anyone working in a healthcare setting.

It also found that more Americans, 30%, expect it to take more than a year to return to normal pre-Covid life, compared to 9% who thought so in early June.

Fewer people also say they have resumed their normal lives — 22% now compared to 28% in June — or say they will in the next six months — 13% compared to 36% in June — according to the poll .

As a sign of normalcy, senior officials told CNN that the US plans to ease travel restrictions on fully vaccinated visitors from Canada and Mexico starting in early November, easing bans that have been in place for more than 18 months.

Moderna proposes smaller vaccine dose

As the U.S. has approved booster doses of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine for some vulnerable Americans — and officials are weighing approval for the boosters Moderna and Johnson & Johnson — Moderna urged the FDA on Tuesday to approve a 50 microgram dose. to approve, according to documents released ahead of an important meeting.

The company said this dose increases protection against the coronavirus while helping to keep the global vaccine supply higher.

Moderna urges FDA to approve half-size booster dose of Covid-19 vaccine for some adults

That dose is half the size of the 100 microgram doses used in the primary series of the two-dose vaccine.

Moderna requests authorization for the smaller dose at least six months after the second dose for certain groups: people 65 and older; people aged 18 to 64 who are at high risk for severe Covid-19; and people aged 18 to 64 whose exposure to the coronavirus in their environment or work puts them at risk for Covid-19 complications or serious illness.

The FDA’s independent vaccine advisers are expected to discuss and vote Thursday on whether to recommend approval of boosters for the Moderna vaccine. On Friday, the advisers are scheduled to discuss and vote on whether or not to recommend approval of boosters for Johnson & Johnson’s vaccine. Both vaccines are already approved for use in people 18 years of age and older. VRBPAC members will also hear a presentation on “mix and match” booster doses Friday.

Naomi Thomas, Deidre McPhillips, Julian Cummings, Rosalina Nieves and Jamie Gumbrecht of CNN contributed to this report.