COVID-19 hospital admissions in Colorado could hit 500 in June, projects report
COVID-19 hospital admissions in Colorado could hit 500 in June, projects report

COVID-19 hospital admissions in Colorado could hit 500 in June, projects report

If current COVID-19 trends continue, 500 or more people could be hospitalized with the virus in Colorado in mid-June, according to a new report from the state’s modeling team released Friday.

That new modeling report acknowledged that there is a high degree of uncertainty about what might happen, as hospital admissions so far have not been taken as quickly in Colorado as they did after the BA.2.12.1 variant arrived in some northeastern states. That Center for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that BA.2.12.1 accounts for about one-third of infections in the region, including Colorado, and is gaining ground on its cousin BA.2.

The new state-wide COVID-19 model comes as Denver public health officials on Friday warned that the growing number of infections in the city has shifted it from low-risk to CDC indicators at Community level to medium risk.

The Denver Department of Public Health and Environment urged people at higher risk for serious illness to take precautions because of the transition from green to yellow – or from low risk to medium risk – on the CDC’s dashboard. Boulder and Mineral counties are also yellow, while the rest of Colorado is green.

Counties move into yellow if they had at least 200 new cases per. 100,000 people during the last week, or at least 10 COVID-19 hospital admissions per. 100,000 people. Denver had 209 cases per year. 100,000 inhabitants.

“Since the beginning of April, the number of COVID-19 cases has been slow but steadily increasing,” the Denver Department of Health said in a statement. “While the current rise is not expected to be nearly as large as the omicron rise earlier this year, it is a good opportunity to remind our community how to stay safe, protected and prepared for COVID-19.”

The new model report’s estimate of 500 admissions in Colorado assumes that BA.2.12.1 is not significantly better at getting around the immune system than previous versions of omicron and does not cause more serious illness. Some early data suggest that infection with another version of omicron may not provide strong protection against BA.2.12.1, which means that even people who had COVID-19 a few months ago could get it again, but it is not certain.

If BA.2.12.1 is more severe or more elusive, COVID-19 admissions could peak closer to 800. As of Tuesday, the state reported 116 admissions.

“This may put some pressure on health systems, but not close to the level experienced during previous increases. This is because Colorado continues to experience high levels of protection against the most severe outcomes due to immunity to vaccination and previous infection,” he said. a statement from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment.

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