Covid-19 Tracker: A slow steady decline
Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (somewhat common) Covid-19 data dump.
Hospitalizations, registered infections, and positivity rates continued to decline, but perhaps at a slower rate (depending on the data source). R The number of estimates remains relatively low.
This has been announced by the defacto President of Public Health a fourth shot will be “necessary”.
So does the vaccine little to protect against infection but even the first two doses have shown long-term protection against serious illness and hospitalization.
If after two pandemic years, political officials refuses to take even the most modest steps to control the viruswe should prepare to be unprepared for the next rise (and next pathogen).
Global vaccination? Do not ask.
Official cynicism about masking has been a leading indicator throughout the crisis. Not only do public health officials refuse to push N95s to the public, they refuse to recommend them to hospitals at all at a time when hospital transfer is higher than ever. To me, there is only one plausible explanation: lack of profits for production and distribution.
BTW, after announcing the availability of N95s at local pharmacies, I have yet to see any in San Francisco pharmacies (although I have heard of someone who has purchased at Home Depot in Colma). If you have any information on where people can get N95s, let us know. San Francisco public health officials can not be bothered.
You may have read about outbreak in Hong Kong, where vaccination is low. But what about South Korea, where 90% of the population is fully vaccinated and over 60% boosted.
Cases are increase in Europe as well.
Asia’s rise seems to be related to the omicron (BA.1), while Europe’s seems to be related to the omicron variant (BA.2). Although the sub-variant seems more contagious, The vaccine appears to protect against hospitalization and death.
The surveillance that is in the United States suggests that we may have a spring rise faster than usual. We may be lucky as last year when most of the country, including SF, avoided the rise of the Alpha variant.
Scroll down for today’s covid numbers.
From 15 March, DPH reports fewer San Franciscans, 781,787, have been vaccinated than last week. Yet the department reports more than 89 percentage of all San Francisco residents have been given one dose and more 83 percent has received two. For residents 5 and older, they remain with one dose over 90 percent and but those with two fell to 86 percent while for those 65 and older over 90 pct have received two doses. The number of boosters is largely unchanged from last week. Pr. March 15 is approx 471,064 SF farmers (65 percent of all residents, 83 percent of residents aged 65 and over) have received a COVID-19 booster dose, an increase of less than 1 per cent over the past week.
For information on where to get vaccinated in and around the mission, visit our Vaccination site.
Over the past week, admissions have dropped 25 percent. On March 12, DPH reports that there was 43 covid admissions, or approx 4.9 covid admissions per 100,000 inhabitants (based on a population of 874,000). ICU patients have been single-digit since March 2nd. Today, the California Department of Public Health reports 45 covid patients in SF hospitals and 10 ICU patients.
The latest report from the federal Department of Health and Human Services shows Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital with 6 covid patients and 7 ICU beds available while CPMC across the mission had 3 covid patients and 3 ICU beds available. Of 77 reported covid patients, 34 was on either SFGH or UCSF, with at least 70 ICU beds available among reporting hospitals (which do not include Veterans Administration). It reports California DPH at the moment 86 ICU beds available in San Francisco.
Between January 10 and March 11, DPH occupied 2278 new infections among mission residents or 388 new infections per. 10,000 inhabitants. Bayview Hunters Point continues at the highest rate with 670 new infections per year. 10,000 inhabitants. Of 38 neighborhoods, 9 had prices above 400 per. 10,000 inhabitants, all in the eastern and southeastern part of the city. Noe Valley had the lowest rate of 208 per. 10,000 inhabitants.
DPH reports on March 8 that the 7-day average of daily new infections recorded in the city fell to 83 or approx 9.5 new infections per day per 100,000 inhabitants (based on a population of 874,000), which represents one 25 percent fall from last week. According to DPH, the 7-day average infection rate was among vaccinated residents 8.4 per 100,000 “fully vaccinated” residents and 19.7 pr. 100,000 unvaccinated residents. It is unclear whether “fully vaccinated” means 2 or 3 doses. According to the New York Times, that was the 7-day average 34 on March 15 a 85 percent decline over the past two weeks.
For the month of February, DPH states that Asians were responsible 28.5 percent of the month’s total, up from 25 percent in January. White stood for 23.7 pctUp from 19.7 pctLatinxs 15.6 pctdown from 21.2 percentblack 5.6 percentdown from 5.7 percentMulti-racer 1.3 percentUp from 1 percentPacific Islanders 6 percentdown from 1 percentand Indians had 0.1 percent of the month’s total, down from 2 percent in January.
In February, Multi-racial had one 7.4 percent positivity rate, Latinxs 6.4 percentblack 6 percentPacific Islanders 6 percentNative Americans 5.7 percentasians 5.5 percent and whites had a positivity rate in February on 4.3 percent.
Thieves new covid-related deaths have been reported, bringing the total number since the beginning of the year to 141. DPH will not disclose how many were grown and how many unvaxxed. Nor does it provide information on race / ethnicity or socioeconomic status of the recently deceased. The Omicron death toll appears to be higher than the delta. During and after the delta rise, July-October, the number was 105. According to DPH, “COVID-19 deaths were suspected to be associated with COVID-19. This means that COVID-19 is listed as the cause of death or significant condition on the death certificate. “Use of a phrase like”suspected of being associated with”Indicates the difficulty of determining a covid death. The ambiguity increases when DPH is currently only reporting 21 of 835 deaths are not known to have had any underlying conditions or sequelae.
Covid R-estimate on March 4, San Francisco estimated the R number to .45 while currently estimating California’s R-number estimate to .54. That ensembleOn March 14, the San Francisco R number estimates .53 while estimating the California R number to .80.
For the month of February, DPH informs 115 infections among homeless San Franciscans. The department also reports 0 cumulative deaths among this population (down from 7 previously reported). In nursing homes (“skilled nursing facilities”), reports DPH 40 new infections for the month and 3 new deaths. In Single Room Occupancy Hotels (SROs), reports DPH 164 new infections for the month and 5 new deaths.