Covid-19 Tracker: Hospitalization – Mission Local
Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (somewhat common) Covid-19 data dump.
As registered infection rates and positivity rates rise, hospital admissions remain remarkably flat. R-number models suggest the virus is on the rise in the city.
The San Francisco Department of Public Health continues to promote vaccination and has increased testing in some of the city’s hardest hit neighborhoods. SFDPH continues to withhold demographic and vaccine data on hospital admissions and provide no new updates on schools for 2022.
With reports of new variants and sub-variants, the virus seems to be changing rapidly. Here is a partial update.
The reports emphasize how little one actually understands about the virus including transmission.
One thing you know is that with better ventilation, indoor spaces can be made relatively safer. The technology exists and the costs are not prohibitive. This means that companies are investing in improved working conditions?
Is public health un-American? The jury is still out on that question, however a judge has spoken.
Now that mask mandates for public transport are declining, several expert celebrities are engaging in the dubious practice of individual risk calculation. What you need to know to make that calculation in terms of masking on flights? A lot.
Have we not learned it Leaving covid security measures to personal choices has dangerous drawbacks? Apparently not, as this most recent super-spreader event took place in Washington DC. with, among others, Anthony Fauci present.
Here’s an overview of what US officials are considering expectations and priorities in the coming weeks.
In the meantime China has chosen a very opposite approach. We know very little about what is going on in China these days, what their policies are, and why they have chosen the path they have chosen. This recent report is from the Global Times, a media source that regularly reflects official Chinese views.
Closer to home, the Centers for Disease Prevention and Control has announced that it is new Center for Forecasts and Outbreak Analysis. Sounds impressive, but no mention of improved data sources, which has been an ongoing issue.
Scroll down for today’s covid numbers.
Over the past week, the number of admissions has increased 16 percent (representing only 3 patients) On April 16, DPH reports that there were 22 covid admissions, or approx 2.5 covid admissions per 100,000 inhabitants (based on a population of 874,000). Covid patients at the ICU have dropped by 2 over the course of the week, and the ICU population has been single-digit since March 2nd. On April 17, the California Department of Public Health reports 28 covid patients in SF hospitals and 2 ICU patients.
The latest report from the federal Department of Health and Human Services shows Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital with 4 covid patients and 9 ICU beds available while CPMC across the mission had 2 covid patients and 2 ICU beds available. Note: A medical researcher at SFGH says that the hospital currently has with 1 covid patient. Of 36 reported covid patients in the city, 19 was on either SFGH or UCSF, with at least 80 ICU beds available among reporting hospitals (which do not include Veterans Administration or Laguna Honda). It reports California DPH at the moment 99 ICU beds available in San Francisco.
Between 14 February and 15 April, DPH admitted 425 new infections among mission residents (a decrease of 14 percent since the last report) or 72 new infections per 10,000 inhabitants. During that period, Mission Bay had the highest rate with 144 new infections per year. 10,000 inhabitants. Of 38 neighborhoods, 7 had tariffs over 100 per. 10,000 inhabitants, with 4 in the eastern and southeastern part of the city. Treasure Island had the lowest rate (not calculated) with only 5 new reported infections.
DPH reports on April 12 that the 7-day average of daily new infections recorded in the city rose to 136 or approx 15.5 new infected per 100,000 inhabitants (based on a population of 874,000), which represents one 14.3 pct increase from last week. According to DPH, the 7-day average infection rate was among vaccinated residents 14.7 per 100,000 “fully vaccinated” residents and 27.5 pr. 100,000 unvaccinated residents. It is unclear whether “fully vaccinated” means 2, 3 or 4 doses. The latest report from the New York Times says that the average number of 7 days on April 19th was 154 one 18 percent over the past two weeks. For those interested sewage monitoring, see here.
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We are still working on improving the graph. Pr. April 15 informs DPH 677 new registered infections among the city’s white population, or 32.8 percent of April registered infections so far; asians 546 infections or 26.5 percent; Latinxs 201 infections or 9.7 percent; Sort of 54 infections or 2.6 percent; Multi-racers 10 infections or 5 percent; Pacific Islanders 8 infections or 4 percent; and Indians have occupied 2 new infections or 0.1 percent of the City’s infection so far in April.
The 7-day rolling average of Citywide tests increased 5.5 percent during the week. The 7-day rolling Citywide average positivity rate nearly rose 9 percent during that time.
Pr. April 19 informs DPH 784,965 San Franciscans have received at least one vaccine dose (an increase of 6 percent) represents above 90 percentage of all San Francisco residents, and 84 percent has now received two. For residents 5 and older, they remain with one dose over 90 percent and those with two more steps 88 percent while for those 65 and older over 90 pct have received two doses. Pr. April 19 is approx 518,370 SF farmers (71 percent of all residents, 86 percent of residents aged 65 and over) have received a COVID-19 booster dose, an increase of 9 percent over the past week.
For information on where to get vaccinated in and around the mission, visit our Vaccination site.
Six new covid-related deaths, 3 more in April, have been reported, bringing the total number since the beginning of the year to 163. DPH will not say how many have been vaccinated. Nor does it provide information on race / ethnicity or socioeconomic status of those who have recently died. According to DPH, COVID-19 deaths are suspected to be associated with COVID-19. This means that COVID-19 is listed as the cause of death or significant condition on the death certificate. “Use of a phrase like”suspected of being associated with”Indicates the difficulty of determining a covid death. The fog gets denser as DPH continues to only report 21 of the deaths are not known to have had any underlying conditions or sequelae.
The lack of data has made R Number estimates very uncertain. Covid R-estimate on April 15, the San Francisco R number was estimated at 1.56 while estimating the California R number to 1.28 on April 18th ensembleApril 17 estimates the San Francisco R number to 1.04 while estimating the California R number to .87. Only one model in the ensemble has SF under 1.
In April so far, the San Franciscans were aged 0-4 62 registered infections el 3.0 percent of the monthly sum; 5-11 90 infections or 4.4 percent; 12-17 47 infections or 2.3 percent; 18-20 39 infections or 1.9 percent; 21-24 161 infections or 7.8 percent; 25-29 293 infections or 14.2 percent; 30-39 575 infections or 27.9 percent; 40-49 314 infections or 15.2 percent; 50-59 205 infections or 9.9 percent; 60-69 125 infections or 6.1 percent; 70-79 93 infections or 4.5 percent; and the San Franciscans 80 and older had 60 registered infections el 2.9 percent of the month’s total so far.