The number of Oregonians hospitalized with COVID-19 continues to decline and will reach levels last seen before the arrival of the highly contagious omicron variant around March 12, according to latest updated weather forecast from Oregon Health & Science University.
The latest forecast shows that nationwide hospital admissions will drop to 400 by March 12 – about a week earlier than the last forecast.
“It’s falling extremely fast,” he said Peter Graven, Ph.D., Director of the OHSU Office of Advanced Analytics. “This is good news and we hope it eases the burden on hospitals faster than expected.”
The number of hospital admissions has dropped from an omicron rise of 1,130 on January 27 to 528 from Thursday, February 24, according to latest figures from the Oregon Health Authority.
The highly contagious omicron variant was first confirmed in Oregon on December 14, raising fears that the rise in infections may drive hospitalizations far beyond the previous high of 1,178 on September 1, 2021, during the rise driven by the delta variant. Data show that Oregonians took measures to reduce the spread of infection. Although Oregon hospitals remain strained, the impact was less severe than in other areas of the country.
“Clearly, Oregon appears to be one of the best performing nationwide under omicron,” Graven said.
Oregon’s highest hospitalization during the omicron rise was about a third lower than the average peak, per. per capita, compared to other U.S. states. The new OHSU forecast includes a retrospective chart comparing Oregon hospital admissions with other U.S. states, revealing that Oregon’s population-weighted top hospital count was the fourth-lowest in the country.