Trump’s approval rating rose after FBI investigation, polls show – live | American politics

Here’s a counterfact in case the search for Mar-a-Lago caused Republicans to rally around Donald Trump.

The Washington Post has released its quarterly ranking of who the Republican presidential frontrunners are for 2024, and while acknowledging that Trump is indeed the leader in the polls, they conclude for the first time that he is no longer the most likely candidate. Impeach him is the governor of Florida Ron DeSantis, which isn’t much of a surprise. DeSantis has eagerly courted Trump voters and is seen as the ex-president’s most likely challenger.

But what knocked Trump off in the first place? The Post concludes that his mounting legal problems and other political baggage may ultimately deter voters and convince them to try someone else. And unlike his previous successful White House run in 2016, several other politicians today are promising voters much of his same policies and rhetoric.

Key events

There are mounting signs that the overthrow of Roe v. Wade could have a transformative effect on midterm election dynamics and potentially give Democrats an advantage, Lauren Gambino reports:

For years, Democrats warned that abortion rights were under serious threat. Across the US, anti-abortion activists in red states have cut access and pushed for conservative judges to secure their gains. But for many Americans, the prospect of losing the constitutional right to abortion that had existed since 1973 remained worrisome, but distant.

That all changed in June, when in Dobbs v Jackson, the Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade, the 49-year-old ruling that established the law.

Since then, bans have been enacted in at least 10 states. Republicans are rushing with new restrictions, raising fears that other rights, including same-sex marriage and access to contraception, may also be vulnerable.

Arizona Republican Rusty Bowers took on Donald Trump and was kicked from his long-held seat in the state legislature for it. Ed Pilkington traveled to the southwestern state to learn more about what happened:

Rusty Bowers is on his way to the exit. After 18 years as a legislator in Arizona, the past four as Speaker of the House of Representatives, he has been unceremoniously kicked out by his own Republican party.

Last month, he lost his bid to remain in the Arizona legislature in a primary match in which his opponent was backed by Donald Trump. The rival, David Farnsworth, kept an unusual tone to voters: The 2020 presidential election was not only stolen from Trump, he said, it was satanically snatched by the “devil himself”.

Bowers was expelled as punishment. The Trump supporters who have taken control of the state’s Republican party for the past two years wanted revenge for the powerful testimony he gave at the January 6 hearings in June, in which he revealed the pressure he had undergone to force the Arizona election results.

This is a very Arizonan story. But it’s also an American story with an ominous warning to the entire nation.

Six hours after the Guardian interviewed Bowers, Liz Cheney was similarly ousted in a primary for her Wyoming congressional seat. The formerly third most powerful Republican leader in the US Congress was also punished.

Donald Trump has been busy in court following the FBI’s search for Mar-a-Lago, and The Guardian’s Hugo Lowell has the latest on what his lawyers want to achieve:

Donald Trump is strongly considering seeking the appointment of a special court official to determine whether material seized by the FBI at his Florida resort could be used in a criminal investigation, according to his lead attorney Jim Trusty and two known sources. with the case.

The motion — if actually filed — would be the former president’s first formal legal action after federal agents seized about 30 boxes of highly sensitive documents from his Mar-a-Lago resort last week in an investigation into unauthorized retention. of government secrets.

Trump would argue that the court should appoint a special master — usually a retired attorney or judge — because the FBI may have seized privileged materials in the search, and the Justice Department shouldn’t have to decide for itself what to use in its investigation , the sources said.

Here’s a counterfact in case the search for Mar-a-Lago caused Republicans to rally around Donald Trump.

The Washington Post has released its quarterly ranking of who the Republican presidential frontrunners are for 2024, and while acknowledging that Trump is indeed the leader in the polls, they conclude for the first time that he is no longer the most likely candidate. Impeach him is the governor of Florida Ron DeSantis, which isn’t much of a surprise. DeSantis has eagerly courted Trump voters and is seen as the ex-president’s most likely challenger.

But what knocked Trump off in the first place? The Post concludes that his mounting legal problems and other political baggage may ultimately deter voters and convince them to try someone else. And unlike his previous successful White House run in 2016, several other politicians today are promising voters much of his same policies and rhetoric.

Polls show renewed Republican rally around Trump after search for Mar-a-Lago

Good morning, American political blog readers. The FBI’s search for Mar-a-Lago earlier this month may be the most serious legal problem ever faced Donald Trump, but it has also brought Republicans together around the former president. His approval rating rose in an NBC News poll released over the weekend, confirming an earlier survey that showed GOP voters viewed him more favorably after the search. That Trump was planning a second run for the White House has been known practically since his departure, but the big open question now is whether he will declare a new campaign before the November midterm elections — and whether the investigation into his dealings with classified material will change his plans.

Here’s what we can expect today:

  • Expect more legal wrangling about Lindsey Graham‘s subpoena from a special grand jury in Georgia investigating election meddling by Trump officials. Over the weekend, a court temporarily deferred the subpoena, giving the Republican senator a deferment of payment for the panel.

  • a federal judge has again shown his willingness to unlock at least some of the affidavit justifying the FBI’s search for Mar-a-Lago, though some of it will likely be redacted.

  • Congress is on break and Joe Biden is on vacation, which is why Washington is so quiet.


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