Victoria’s Secret Stock is out of the box
Victoria’s Secret Stock is out of the box

Victoria’s Secret Stock is out of the box

Specialty retailer of intimate clothing for women Victoria’s Secret (NYSE: VSCO) the stock has cratered (-44%) this year bear market. The company was spun off from Limited Brands in 2021 with 1,400 retail locations under the brands Victoria’s Secret and PINK. The company beat its EPS estimates practically for its 2021 accounting with handling headwinds, including inflationary pressure, supply chain disturbances, weather and market volatilityand rising logistics costs. Revenue, however, decreased (-4.5%), mainly due to the decline in stimulus check expenses. Inventory levels ended the quarter with a 37% increase due to longer transit time and strategic assortment decisions to drive future growth. Only 10% of it was transfer stock. The company has improved its distribution with the launch of VS & Co. Lab and expect to become one growth history in the second half with the rollout of new products, especially in the bra and beauty lines. Cautious investors who have been waiting for exposure in this iconic intimate outfit dealer may look for opportunistic withdrawals in shares of Victoria’s Secret.



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Earnings announcement for Q1 2022

On May 31, 2022, Victoria’s Secret published its first quarter 2022 financial results for the quarter ending April 2022. The company reported earnings per. share (EPS) of 1.11 USD excl. $ 0.84, a blow of $ 0.27 per. Revenue fell (-4.5%) year-on-year (YoY) to $ 1.48 billion, beating consensus analysts’ estimates of $ 1.47 billion. The company returned $ 110 million to shareholders through its capital allocation program. Victoria’s Secrets CEO Martin Waters said: “As a result of our conscious actions, we have stabilized the business and delivered over $ 1 billion in EBITDA for the next 12-month period. Looking ahead, I think we have the focused strategy, robust and expert.talent and customer connection that we need to maintain and develop our dominant position as a market leader in the intimate goods category.We are well equipped to continue to address macro challenges through merchandise and marketing that pleases our customers, new business initiatives designed to expand our customer base and increase sales and disciplined financial management. “

In-line guide

Victoria’s Secret issued in-line guidance for fiscal year Q2 2022 for EPS between $ 0.95 to $ 1.17 versus $ 1.17 by consensus analysts. Revenue is expected to increase by low single digits to low single digits. Consensus analysts’ estimates for revenue are for (-1%) decline from year to year.

Conference Call Takeaways

CEO Waters stated that the company generated over $ 1 billion in EBITDA for the subsequent 12-month period. The sales decline (-4.5%) was adjusted for the $ 75 million stimulus to a flat sale to last year. Momentum was seen in the bra and beauty industry as internationally recovered from previous COVID-related restrictions. Adjusted operating income exceeded the previously expected range of $ 80 million to $ 110 million of $ 116 million. He expects the rest of the year to continue to be challenging with volatility due to macroeconomic conditions. The company expects operating income for the second quarter of 2022 to range between $ 125 million to $ 155 million. For the full year 2022, the Company expects sales to be flat to low single digit. CEO Waters sees a number of options in the latter part of the year, including new bras for both PINK and Victoria’s Secret brands. In Beauty, the company expanded its distribution with the launch of VS & Co. Lab as its loyalty program. He feels the business has stabilized now. He feels that the company can maintain operating revenues in the low double-digit percentages of sales to reach its goal if the operating revenues are in the middle of teens.

Victoria's Secret Stock is out of the box

VSCO opportunistic withdrawal price levels

Using the rifle cards on the weekly and daily time frames provides an accurate picture of the landscape of VSCO stocks. The weekly rifle chart triggered a reverse puppy crash after rejecting $ 46.78 Fibonacci (fib) level. The weekly rifle chart downward trend has a declining 5-period moving average (MA) of $ 38.86 followed by 15-period MA of $ 45.62 and lower weekly Bollinger Bands (BBs) of $ 29.55. The weekly stochastic mini inverse puppy leaned through the 10-band. Weekly market structure low (MSL) buy triggers at a breakout above $ 52.77. The daily rifle chart also has a reverse puppy breakdown with a declining 5-period MA of $ 33.62 followed by a 15-period MA of $ 38.96 and lower daily BBs of $ 29.04. The daily stochastics have stalled near the 5-band. The daily 50-period MA is at $ 44.88 and the daily 200-period MA at $ 51.97. Opportunistic withdrawal levels are at the $ 29.29 fib, $ 27.61, $ 25.50, $ 23.78 fib, $ 22.75 fib, $ 20.54 and $ 19.53 levels. Upside courses range from the $ 39.99 fib up to the $ 49.38 fib level.

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