With the United States distracted by Ukraine, China is planning its own invasion
With the United States distracted by Ukraine, China is planning its own invasion

With the United States distracted by Ukraine, China is planning its own invasion

Xi Jinping unfolds an ancient Chinese cunning. It’s called “Sitting on the mountaintop and watching the tigers fight.”

Or, as we say in the United States, albeit much less poetic: “Let’s you and him fight.”

From his perches on the mountaintop, Xi closely follows the fighting in Ukraine and the world’s reaction. There is no doubt that Xi hopes that the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, will succeed in taking the former Soviet country. After all, one day Xi hopes to launch his own “special military action” against the island of Taiwan.

China’s strategic alliance with Russia has already begun to pay dividends for Xi: Putin’s Ukrainian adventures have diverted America’s attention from Asia to Europe. President Biden’s speech on the state of the Union on Tuesday night hammered Russia on Ukraine for minutes in a row. China, where a deadly virus emerged that killed millions worldwide, was hardly mentioned.

Xi’s alliance with Putin has already paid off, diverting Western attention away from China while Russia invades Ukraine.
Alexei Druzhinin

While Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi publicly “regrets” the “outbreak of conflict” in Ukraine, let’s not forget that Putin flew to Beijing when the Winter Olympics began, to meet with Xi and sign no less than 15 different agreements on trade, including oil and natural gas. So, just as Putin’s armor began to roll into Ukraine, China opened its doors to Russian wheat. The two countries even coordinated the time of the attackwhere Putin agreed to postpone his invasion until the Beijing Games were over.

In other words, Putin set about expanding his empire knowing that the Chinese Communist Party had his back and would help alleviate the pain of the economic sanctions that would surely follow the invasion.

President Biden's speech on the state of the Union on Tuesday night hammered Russia on Ukraine for minutes in a row.  China was hardly mentioned.
President Biden’s speech on the state of the Union on Tuesday night hammered Russia on Ukraine for minutes in a row. China was hardly mentioned.
SAUL LOEB

China’s subsequent calls for a negotiated settlement are nothing more than window-splitting. That is why Beijing refuses to call Putin’s “special military action” against Ukraine an invasion.

The true feelings of the Beijing regime come through loud and clear on social media, which is burning with pro-Putin, pro-Russian propaganda – jingoism that would not be allowed if it did not follow the party’s line.

But while Xi hopes to see the United States, China’s biggest rival in the Indo-Pacific, get stuck in a proxy war in Ukraine, the street fighting in Kviv and other cities must give the Chinese dictator a break. If the citizens of Taiwan are fighting like the Ukrainians – and three-quarters say they would take up arms to defend their land – then the takeover of the island can cost tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of lives and drag out for many weeks or months.

Xi sees the invasion of Ukraine as a model for how he can do the same against Taiwan - but the heroic Ukrainians must give him a break.
Xi sees the invasion of Ukraine as a model for how he can do the same against Taiwan – but the heroic Ukrainians must give him a break.
ARIS MESSINIS

I doubt if the human cost of an invasion weighs very heavily on Xi’s mind. After all, CCP leaders have repeatedly shown that they have a cavalier attitude toward human life. The number of victims of the party’s purges, wars and famines rounds off approx 100 million or so. What is 100,000 more?

But as Putin learns of his danger, time is not on the aggressor’s side. The longer the resistance can endure, the more likely it is that it will receive help from its allies, and the deeper any sanctions imposed will bite.

A Taiwanese coastguard sees a Chinese boat in the South China Sea.  The island nation is on high alert for a future invasion.
A Taiwanese coastguard sees a Chinese boat in the South China Sea. The island nation is on high alert for a future invasion.
Ann Wang

And there is one sanction in particular that could make Putin sweat in his bunker and perhaps even convince Xi to shelve his own invasion plans. ONE transatlantic task force has been created, which will target Putin and his inner circle overseas assets.

That official statement reads: “We are committed to imposing sanctions and other economic and enforcement measures against additional Russian officials and elites close to the Russian government, as well as their families and their enablers …”

A US official was even more blunt: “We want to take their yachts, their luxury apartments, their money and their ability to send their children to fancy colleges in the West.”

If China were to invade Taiwan, three-quarters say they would take up arms to defend their country.
If China were to invade Taiwan, three-quarters say they would take up arms to defend their country.
Chiang Ying-ying

The leaders of the CCP have far more money, yachts, luxury apartments and family members in the West than the Russian oligarchs have. And if they thought the invasion of Taiwan would endanger it, they might decide to let the island go its own way.

If there is anything that will stop the slaughterhouse in Ukraine – and permanently deter the CCP’s aggression against Taiwan – it is this threat to the Russian and Chinese oligarchs that the money they have stolen from their own people and saved abroad will be confiscated.

Putin and Xi have long had a friendly relationship - but all that could change if the West strikes down the oligarchs from their respective countries.
Putin and Xi have long had a friendly relationship – but all that could change if the West strikes down the oligarchs from their respective countries.
SERGEI BOBYLYOV

Putin may imagine that he is the reincarnation of Peter the Great, but I suppose those who support him are much more concerned about keeping their yachts than they are about reuniting the Soviet Union, piece by piece. . They may decide it is time to install a new, less ambitious czar.

And all the while, Xi will be watching from the mountain top.

Steven W. Mosher is the President of the Population Research Institute and the author of “Bully of Asia: Why China’s dream is the new threat to the world order. “


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